Friday, April 27, 2012

2012 NBA Playoff Prediction Challenge

Here's how it works. In the comments, post your picks for the winner of every round in the playoffs, along with the number of games you think each will series will go. You get 5 points for a correct pick multiplied by the round number (so 5 for the first round, 10 for the second round, and so on). You get 2 bonus points for getting the right number of games in a series you also picked correctly. So in later rounds you don't need to pick the correct opponent to get the bonus points (i.e., I picked the Bulls over the Celtics in 6, and it ends up being Bulls over Hawks in 6, I would still get 12 points.)

Since we're in a truncated season, and there's such a quick turnaround between the regular season and playoffs, I'll give everyone until the end of the day Sunday to make your picks. So I guess you could wait and see what happens in game 1 of every series first, but don't be a Bosh like that.

Here are my picks:
Bulls over 76ers in 4
The Sixers have been one of the worst teams in the NBA lately, and then Evan Turner decided to run his mouth off saying they want the Bulls? He can backtrack all he wants, he still gave a team that feels constantly disrespected despite having the best record in the NBA bulletin board material. The Bulls could win this series with a starting 5 of JL3, TBN, JFB, White Mamba, and Turkish D, and I'm only being half-facetious here. I would really like to see that series. I bet it would go 7 games.

Heat over Knicks in 5
This series will be entertaining, and I think the Knicks can steal a game, but I think all the Heat's supposed vulnerabilities are going to go away come playoff time, and the Knicks will be overmatched.

Pacers over Magic in 5
The Magic are the only team in the playoffs I'd rather play than the Sixers. Who are the threats you need to worry about? Jameer Nelson and Ryan Anderson? I think I'd rather play the Magic than the Bucks, Nets, Rockets, or Suns.

Celtics over Hawks in 6
The Celtics worry me. They're playing well at just the right time (wrong time from a Bulls fan perspective.) They match up well with the Bulls, and if any of our secondary players don't show up for the series, it could be ugly. But these are second round problems, and we're talking about the first round. The Celtics have enough to handle the Hawks. Josh Smith will help by taking stupid shots. Also, Avery Bradley will shut Joe Johnson down, and Rondo is going to own Jeff Teague.

Spurs over Jazz in 6
I like the Jazz, I think this will be one of the more entertaining series of the first round. This is not the same Spurs team that got exposed by the Grizzlies last year though. They can score with anybody, and almost have an embarrassment of wing riches with Gary Neal and Kawhi Leonard, along with the usual suspects.

Thunder over Mavs in 6
I like Dirk to steal a couple games, but this is not the same Mavs team without Tyson Chandler and JJ Barea. It is, pretty much, the same Thunder team though.

Nuggets over Lakers in 7
The only real upset I have in the first round, I think the Nuggets style is going to be hard for the Lakers to handle. And I really like the George Karl- Mike Brown matchup for the Nuggets. I realize this pick might screw me over in the long run, but I'm making it anyway.

Grizzlies over Clippers in 5
Three words: Vinny. Del. Negro.

I'll break down the 2nd rounds when I actually know them. Here are the rest of my picks, for the record:
Bulls over Celtics in 7
Heat over Pacers in 5
Spurs over Grizzlies in 6
Thunder over Nuggets in 6

Bulls over Heat in 7
Thunder over Spurs in 6

Bulls over Thunder in 7
(Three straight game 7s. I predict a lot of stress in our future. Buckle up.)

7 comments:

  1. West/East Quarter
    Spurs over Jazz (5)
    Thunder over Mavs (6)
    Lakers over Nuggets (5)
    Grizzlies over Clippers (6)
    Bulls over 76ers (5)
    Heat over Knicks (6)
    Pacers over Magic (5)
    Celtics over Hawk (6)

    West/East semi-finals
    Spurs over Grizzlies (6)
    Lakers over Thunder (6)
    Bulls over Celtics (6)
    Heat over Pacers (5)

    West/East finals
    Heat over Bulls (6)
    Spurs over Lakers (5)

    Finals
    Spurs over Heat (6)

    ReplyDelete
  2. Spurs over Jazz (4). Spurs just absolutely dominant lately, Utah not that impressive though definitely outplayed their offseason potential. Spurs are pretty well-rested, too.
    Thunder over Mavs (5). Wouldn't be surprised by a sweep, but the Mavs are pretty solid. There will be some close games here.
    Lakers over Nuggets (5). Not impressed by the Nuggets, though not impressed by the Lakers, either.
    Grizzlies over Clippers (5). Grizzlies won't be able to sneak up on anybody this year but they won't need to.
    Bulls over 76ers (4). Not really a contest, especially if Rose is back and effective. But really, even if he's not his normal self, they've shown they're fine without him.
    Heat over Knicks (6). Knicks are playing pretty well lately and I think they can steal a couple here. Actually wouldn't be surprised to see this go 7, but I don't see the Heat losing here.
    Pacers over Magic (4). Not even a real series. Pacers are one of the best team-oriented teams I've seen this year and the Magic are just a mess.
    Celtics over Hawks (7). I've never really been that impressed with the Hawks. I don't know how they got a top 4 seed at all. Boston ain't that great either, so it'll be a long series.

    Potential later rounds:
    Grizzlies over Spurs (7). Sure, why not? They match up pretty damn well.
    Thunder over Lakers (5). This is not a functional Lakers team anymore. The game at the end of the regular season was a nice win for them, but all it does is tell the Thunder that they can't underestimate them again.
    Bulls over Celtics (5). Bulls simply have too many threats and the Celtics have too many elderly.
    Pacers over Heat (7). I hope this happens, but it won't. But I'm still calling it. Pacers match up surprisingly well with the Heat and are playing very well lately. Hoping it carries over against the Heat.

    Thunder over Grizzlies (7). This could really be a fantastic series and I hope this is the matchup.
    Bulls over Pacers (6). This too!

    Thunder over Bulls (7). Hope it goes the other way, but I see it going down like this. This could also be a finals matchup for many more years to come.

    ReplyDelete
  3. quarterfinals:
    Spurs over Jazz in 5
    Thunder sweep Mavs
    Lakers take Nuggets in 7
    Grizzlies over Clippers in 5
    Bulls over 76ers in 7
    Heat over Knicks in 6
    Pacers sweep Magic
    Celtics over Hawks in 5

    semifinals
    Memphis beat Spurs in 7
    Thunder over Lakers in 6
    Bulls over Celtics in 6
    Heat over Pacers in 7

    conference finals
    Thunder over Memphis in 7
    Bulls over Heat in 6

    finals:
    Bulls vs. Thunder
    that's as far as I'll go

    EU

    ReplyDelete
  4. 1st Round:
    Bulls over 76ers - 5 games
    Heat over Knicks - 6 games
    Pacers over Magic - 4 games
    Celtics over Hawks - 6 games
    Spurs over Jazz - 5 games
    Clippers over Grizzlies - 6 games
    Thunder over Mavs - 5 games
    Lakers over Nuggets - 6 games

    2nd Round:
    Spurs over Grizzlies - 7 games
    Thunder over Lakers - 6 games
    Bulls over Celtics - 6 games
    Heat over Pacers - 6 games

    Conference Finals:
    Thunder over Spurs - 6 games
    Bulls over Heat - 7 games

    Finals:
    Bulls versus Thunder - 7 games
    (I, like Ethan, will refrain from my finals pick for fear of saying it out loud)

    ReplyDelete
  5. 1st round

    bulls over 76ers in 5
    celtics over hawks in 6
    pacers over magic in 5
    heat over knicks in 5

    spurs over jazz in 5
    grizzlies over clippers in 5
    lakers over nuggets in 7
    thunder over mavericks in 4

    conference semis

    bulls over celtics in 6
    heat over pacers in 5

    spurs over grizzlies in 7
    thunder over lakers in 5

    conference finals

    bulls over heat in 6
    spurs over thunder in 7

    finals

    i will either throw up or start crying if i actually admit what i think the bulls are capable of. since i'm sitting over a new rug, i will not predict the finals result for fear of vomit and/or tears.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Bulls over 76ers in 5
    Celtics over Hawks in 6
    Pacers over Magic in 4
    Heat over Knicks in 6

    Spurs over Jazz in 5
    Grizzlies over Clippers in 7
    Lakers over Nuggets in 6
    Thunder over Mavs in 6

    Bulls over Celtics in 6
    Heat over Pacers in 5

    Spurs over Grizzlies in 7
    Thunder over Lakers in 7

    Bulls over Heat in 7
    Spurs over Thunder in 6

    Bulls over Spurs in 6

    ReplyDelete
  7. My picks!

    Bulls over 76ers (5)
    Celtics over Hawks (7)
    Pacers over Magic (6)
    Heat over Knicks (5)

    Spurs over Jazz (5)
    Clippers over Grizzlies (6)
    Lakers over Nuggets (6)
    Thunder over Mavs (5)

    Bulls over Celts (6)
    Heat over Pacers (5)

    Spurs over Grizzlies (6)
    Thunder over Lakers (6)

    Heat over Bulls (7)
    Spurs over Thunder (6)

    Heat over Spurs (6)

    ReplyDelete